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Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

21% YES 79% NO Volume: $217K Liquidity: $136K Closes: 31 May 2026
Trade on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick
polygram.ink
21% 79% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
21% 79% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Roman Andres Burruchaga. This market will resolve to 'Roman Andres Burruchaga' if Roman Andres Burruchaga advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled da

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Deposit UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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