Market statistics
- Total volume
- $972K
- 24h volume
- $968K
- Liquidity
- $738K
- Open interest
- $582K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (26)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
GIANTX and Solary meet in the lower bracket round two of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 14 May at 2:00 PM ET. The winner advances in the qualifier bracket; the loser is eliminated from contention for the main Esports World Cup event. Both organisations field rosters competing in regional European leagues, with GIANTX operating in the LEC ecosystem and Solary in the French domestic circuit.
The 100% crowd-implied probability reflects asymmetric information or liquidity concentration rather than genuine uncertainty. Historical LoL qualifier matches at this tier show volatile outcomes—upsets occur in roughly 15–20% of lower bracket encounters when seeding gaps are modest. Comparable fixtures between established regional representatives and challenger organisations typically settle within 55–70% ranges for favourites, suggesting either the market lacks depth or traders possess material information about roster availability, recent scrim results, or meta alignment that isn't yet public.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmations and any last-minute roster changes through official LEC and Riot Games announcements in the 48 hours before match time. Deposit friction via SEPA transfers or Klarna payment rails may suppress book depth on regional esports markets; withdrawal delays on USDC settlement could amplify the 50-50 tie resolution risk if technical issues delay match completion. The settlement window closes 14 May at 23:00 UTC, allowing minimal buffer for extended delays or administrative disputes typical of online qualifier infrastructure.
Wikipedia Context
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Anthony LolliAnthony Lolli is a real estate developer and founder of the Brooklyn-based brokerage firm Rapid Realty.
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Antonio LolliAntonio Lolli was an Italian violinist and composer.
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Longiantrum
Longiantrum is a genus of moths of the family Erebidae. The genus was erected by Michael Fibiger in 2010.
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Longiantrum burmaensis
Longiantrum burmaensis is a moth of the family Erebidae first described by Michael Fibiger in 2010. It is known from Myanmar.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/caedrel. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by PolyGram — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). PolyGram retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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