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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Trade "LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

44 outcomes · leader: Game 1 Winner at 100%

1% YES 99% NO Volume: $1.4M 24h volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $981K Opened: 7 May 2026 Closes: 14 May 2026

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Market statistics

Total volume
$1.4M
24h volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$981K
Open interest
$1.1M

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
1% 99% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
1% 99% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Available prediction outcomes (44)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

#1 Game 1 Winner
Game 1 Winner ▲ +61.5%
Vol $543K · 24h $543K
100% Trade →
#2 Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay a Dragon ▲ +33.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#3 Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?
Vol $65 · 24h $65
100% Trade →
#4 Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?
Vol $65 · 24h $65
100% Trade →
#5 Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?
Vol $65 · 24h $65
100% Trade →
#6 O/U 2.5 Games
O/U 2.5 Games ▲ +15.0%
Vol $5K · 24h $5K
63% Trade →
#7 Match Winner
Match Winner ▲ +27.0%
Vol $398K · 24h $380K
62% Trade →
#8 Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
50% Trade →
#9 Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
Vol $65 · 24h $65
50% Trade →
#10 Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
50% Trade →
#11 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? ▲ +1.0%
Vol $202 · 24h $202
50% Trade →
#12 First Blood in Game 2?
First Blood in Game 2?
50% Trade →
#13 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors ▲ +25.5%
50% Trade →
#14 Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill ▲ +23.5%
50% Trade →
#15 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor ▲ +23.5%
50% Trade →
#16 Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay a Dragon ▼ -16.5%
50% Trade →
#17 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors ▲ +25.5%
50% Trade →
#18 Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill ▲ +23.5%
50% Trade →
#19 Odd/Even Total Kills
Odd/Even Total Kills
50% Trade →
#20 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor ▼ -1.5%
50% Trade →
#21 Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay a Dragon ▲ +9.0%
50% Trade →
#22 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
50% Trade →
#23 Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill ▼ -2.0%
50% Trade →
#24 Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Penta Kill ▼ -6.0%
50% Trade →
#25 Odd/Even Total Kills
Odd/Even Total Kills
50% Trade →
#26 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
50% Trade →
#27 Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Penta Kill ▲ +44.5%
Vol $17 · Liq $0
50% Trade →
#28 Game 2 Winner
Game 2 Winner ▼ -1.0%
Vol $23K · 24h $23K
38% Trade →
#29 Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
Liq $6K
36% Trade →
#30 Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2? ▼ -19.5%
Vol $5 · 24h $5
31% Trade →
#31 Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Penta Kill ▲ +8.2%
Vol $21 · Liq $12
12% Trade →
#32 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor ▼ -25.9%
Liq $388
1% Trade →
#33 Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? ▼ -49.5%
Vol $1K · 24h $1K
1% Trade →
#34 Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? ▼ -49.5%
Vol $74 · 24h $74
1% Trade →
#35 Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? ▼ -49.5%
Vol $83 · 24h $83
1% Trade →
#36 Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? ▼ -49.5%
Vol $55 · 24h $55
1% Trade →
#37 First Blood in Game 1?
First Blood in Game 1? ▼ -49.5%
Vol $150 · 24h $150
1% Trade →
#38 Odd/Even Total Kills
Odd/Even Total Kills ▼ -49.5%
Liq $208
1% Trade →
#39 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
1% Trade →
#40 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
Vol $65 · 24h $65
1% Trade →
#41 Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?
Vol $65 · 24h $65
1% Trade →
#42 Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?
Vol $65 · 24h $65
1% Trade →
#43 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? ▼ -49.5%
Vol $13K · 24h $13K
0% Trade →
#44 Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) ▼ -40.0%
Vol $489K · 24h $489K
0% Trade →

Market context

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50

Wikipedia Context

  • Gumbel distribution
    Gumbel distribution

    In probability theory and statistics, the Gumbel distribution is used to model the distribution of the maximum of a number of samples of various distributions.

  • LOL (web series)

    LOL is a web series exploring teen relationships, drug use and social networks. It premiered on Blip on 29 November 2008. There are 20 webisodes in total, ranging between 2 and 5 minutes in length with the last webisode being 10 minutes long. The series was self-funded, with initial help in kind from a local production company. It was shot on a Red One digit

  • Bobby Lowe
    Bobby Lowe

    Robert Lincoln Lowe, nicknamed "Link", was an American Major League Baseball (MLB) player, coach, and scout. He played for the Boston Beaneaters (1890–1901), Chicago Cubs (1902–1903), Pittsburgh Pirates (1904), and Detroit Tigers (1904–1907). Lowe was the first player in Major League history to hit four home runs in a game, a feat which he accomplished in Ma

  • Bob Lowes

    Robert Lowes is a Canadian ice hockey executive, and former ice hockey coach. He has worked as the assistant director of player personnel for the Vegas Golden Knights since 2016. Lowes led the Nipawin Hawks to the 1990 ANAVET Cup championship, before being a head coach in the Western Hockey League (WHL) for 12 seasons with the Brandon Wheat Kings, and the Re

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/lplenglish. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on PolyGram?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and PolyGram converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by PolyGram — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). PolyGram retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.

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