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Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Deposit UK.

4% YES 96% NO Volume: $15.6M Liquidity: $845K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick
polygram.ink
4% 96% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
4% 96% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.

Active sub-markets

No Meeting by June 304% YES96% NO
Oman0% YES100% NO
Switzerland93% YES7% NO
Other0% YES100% NO
UAE0% YES100% NO
Iran0% YES100% NO

Market context

The Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? prediction market currently prices this outcome at 4% YES. This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A di…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?
Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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