# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest video will accumulate views across its first two days of publication. The market brackets measure total view count at the 48-hour mark, with settlement contingent on YouTube's public view counter and no resolution until both days have elapsed. Given the creator's consistent upload cadence and audience scale, the underlying event—a single video's early performance—carries minimal execution risk; the primary variable is audience engagement velocity on release day and the following 24 hours.

MrBeast's historical view trajectory shows rapid front-loading. His recent uploads typically reach 50–100 million views within 48 hours, with the bulk arriving in the first 12 hours after posting. The 0% crowd probability on this market likely reflects either low liquidity depth or settlement window timing that creates friction for traders managing deposit and withdrawal cycles. Traders depositing via Klarna or SEPA transfers face 1–3 day settlement delays; those using USDC on-ramps avoid this lag but incur bridge fees. The market's traction depends on whether book depth justifies the capital lock-in period relative to faster-settling alternatives.

Watch for MrBeast's upload schedule announcements on his social channels and any algorithmic changes to YouTube's view-counting methodology, though the latter remains rare. Recent platform updates have not materially altered early-window view velocity for established creators at his scale. Traders should confirm deposit rails are active before committing capital; SEPA transfers to fund positions may settle after the 48-hour window closes, creating timing mismatches for late entries.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?

Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.