Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
All Gamers and TYLOO will contest the third-place playoff match in the China Evolution Series Act 2, a domestic Valorant competition. The fixture is scheduled for 30 May at 05:00 ET, with a best-of-five format determining the bronze medal and associated prize pool allocation. The current market shows 100% implied probability for All Gamers, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in their victory or severe illiquidity constraining price discovery. Given the settlement window closes at the scheduled match time, traders depositing via slower on-ramps—SEPA transfers or Klarna instalments—should account for funding delays that could lock them out of position entry entirely.
Chinese Valorant's domestic circuit has historically produced volatile playoff outcomes, particularly in third-place matches where motivation and roster cohesion diverge sharply from league play. TYLOO's recent form and head-to-head record against All Gamers remain critical anchors; teams eliminated from semi-finals often field weakened lineups or experience morale collapse. The absence of recent public statements from either organisation regarding roster changes or injury status means traders lack concrete catalysts to challenge the current extreme probability. Monitoring Chinese esports news outlets and team social media for last-minute roster announcements or withdrawal notices is essential, as such disclosures typically emerge within 48 hours of match time.
Liquidity depth on this market will likely remain thin until closer to the event, which constrains both entry and exit for traders using withdrawal rails like USDC or direct bank transfers. Early depositors via faster payment methods (USDC on-chain settlement) may find better pricing than those committing capital through traditional banking channels, where settlement lags could force position holding through match resolution.
Methodology
We track Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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