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UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)

Comparison of odds and platforms for "UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Deposit UK.

100% YES 0% NO Volume: $217K Closes: 21 Jun 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick
polygram.ink
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.

Active sub-markets

O/U 1.5 Rounds100% Over0% Under
Oliveira to win by KO/TKO?100% YES0% NO
Fight won by submission?0% YES100% NO
O/U 0.5 Rounds100% Over0% Under
O/U 2.5 Rounds0% Over100% Under
Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira0% Andre Fili100% Vinicius Oliveira

Market context

Andre Fili’s featherweight main-card fight with Vinicius Oliveira is a live event with a settled betting market profile, and the crowd is already pricing a near-certain Oliveira win rather than a close contest. That fits the pre-fight tape: DraftKings had Oliveira around **-305** and Fili about **+245**, while other previews also framed Oliveira as the more likely winner and expected the bout to be competitive enough to reach the later rounds.[1][2]

Comparable UFC markets tend to move hardest on where the money can be funded fastest, not just on fight news. For a site built around deposits, the relevant flow is whether traders can get cash in and out without friction: card and bank on-ramps, SEPA transfers for euro users, and USDC rails for faster settlement can all affect how quickly liquidity appears around a heavily one-sided line. That matters more when the market is already near 100% and the remaining book depth is mostly a function of fresh deposits rather than new opinions.

The main catalysts are official UFC timing and any confirmation of bout status close to the bell. UFC.com and fight trackers list the contest on the June 20 card, and official result reporting showed Oliveira winning by TKO at 4:56 of round two, which should be the decisive reference for settlement if the result is confirmed in the UFC’s records.[3][4][6] For traders, the practical watchpoint is not the stylistic preview but whether the bout stays on the card and whether settlement timing leaves enough room for deposits and withdrawals to clear before the market window closes.[4][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card) across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Deposit UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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