Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick polygram.ink |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.
Active sub-markets
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova | 94% Alexandra Eala | 7% Nikola Bartunkova |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% Over 2.5 | 25% Under 2.5 |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 23.5 | 99% Over | 1% Under |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner | 0% Eala | 100% Bartunkova |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of birmingham: alexandra eala vs nikola bartunkova. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Eala and Nikola Bartunkova in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
We track Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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