Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Other | — | |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 83% YES | 18% NO |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Song Yadong | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Rob Font | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pedro Munhoz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Petr Yan, the former UFC bantamweight champion, will face an opponent to be officially announced by the UFC with a confirmed fight date. The Russian fighter's next bout represents a significant matchmaking decision within the 135-pound division, where Yan remains a top contender despite recent losses to Sean O'Malley and Demetrious Johnson. Settlement hinges entirely on UFC's formal announcement—speculation or unconfirmed reports do not trigger resolution, meaning traders must wait for the promotion's official channels to declare both opponent and date.
Historical precedent suggests Yan's next fight will likely be announced within three to six months of his previous bout's conclusion. When top-ranked bantamweights enter matchmaking cycles, the UFC typically schedules fights against similarly ranked opponents or rising contenders seeking title credentials. Yan's profile—experienced, recognisable, and capable of drawing viewership—makes him a valuable asset for UFC event cards, which influences how quickly the promotion moves to secure his next opponent. Comparable cases show that fighters at Yan's level rarely remain unbooked for extended periods.
Traders should monitor UFC's official social media accounts and press releases for announcement timing, typically coinciding with event reveals or fighter interviews. The settlement window extends through December 2026, providing ample runway for multiple potential matchups. Deposit friction remains minimal on platforms accepting SEPA transfers and USDC stablecoins, allowing traders to enter positions without substantial payment delays. Book depth will likely increase once the UFC confirms Yan's opponent, as clearer information reduces uncertainty and attracts larger position sizes from serious bettors.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
We track Who will Petr Yan fight next? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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