Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Fnatic and Karmine Corp meet in the upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 on 24 May, with the winner advancing directly to the final. The match is scheduled for 11:00 AM ET and will be played in best-of-five format. Current market pricing reflects near-zero confidence in a Fnatic victory, despite both teams' established track records in European Valorant competition.
Historical matchup data and recent LAN performances provide the primary lens for assessing this fixture. Karmine Corp has demonstrated consistent top-four finishes across major EMEA tournaments over the past eighteen months, whilst Fnatic's qualification to this stage indicates competitive parity at minimum. The 0% implied probability suggests either extreme confidence in Karmine Corp's superiority or shallow liquidity in the order book—a common pattern in esports markets with limited deposit rails. Traders depositing via SEPA or Klarna typically drive volume only after roster announcements or upset-adjacent narratives gain traction; the absence of recent roster changes or injury reports has left this market thinly capitalised.
Watch for official team announcements regarding player availability in the forty-eight hours before match time, as stand-ins or last-minute substitutions have historically shifted EMEA Valorant odds materially. Schedule delays are possible given venue logistics; the seven-day settlement window provides buffer, but any postponement beyond 31 May triggers the 50-50 resolution clause. Withdrawal liquidity via USDC or direct bank transfer will likely remain constrained until either team posts pre-match content that reshapes trader conviction.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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