UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The featherweight prelim between Otari Tanzilovi and Shane Collins is scheduled for UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas, with both fighters listed on the preliminary card and the bout set for 145 pounds. UFC stats shows Collins at 7-0 and Tanzilovi at 10-1, which helps explain why a price pinned at 0% YES is a clear outlier rather than a neutral starting point.[1][5]

For context, early prediction-market prices in small UFC markets are often driven less by fight quality than by who can actually fund a position quickly enough. When deposits are easy and cheap, liquidity can arrive fast; when on-ramp friction is higher, order books can stay thin and one-sided until late money appears. That matters here because the practical depth of the book is shaped by payment rails such as card deposits, SEPA transfers, Klarna-style instant funding, and USDC, all of which affect how quickly traders can react to a late matchup change or weigh-in signal.

The main catalysts are official weigh-in confirmation, any last-minute bout cancellation or rescheduling, and the UFC’s final result announcement. Tapology still lists the fight as a same-day prelim in Las Vegas, while UFC market rules indicate a draw, no contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond 4 July 2026 would push the contract to 50-50 rather than a fighter-specific settlement.[1][2] In a market already at 0% YES, even a modest change in confidence around the event going ahead can matter more than the pre-fight narrative itself.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims) across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Deposit UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?

Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.