UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Allan Nascimento faces Mitch Raposo in a UFC flyweight prelim, with the bout now booked for the June 20 card in Las Vegas after previously being moved because Raposo was ill.[1][3][5] The market’s 0% YES print looks like a funding-friction artefact rather than a view on the fight itself: in thin early books, poor on-ramp conversion and delayed deposits can leave the price stranded even when the underlying event is fully scheduled.

That matters because UFC prelims typically trade with less depth than main-card or title fights, so liquidity often depends on how easily users can move money in and out rather than on headline name recognition. Comparable cases show this kind of flyweight matchup can still attract late attention once the card is confirmed and bout order is fixed, especially when settlement is tied to the UFC’s official result rather than media reporting.[2][7] For context, Nascimento enters with a recent UFC win over Cody Durden, while Raposo’s booking was delayed by the illness-related card change, which is the sort of scheduling noise that can suppress early participation without changing the eventual fight.[2][3]

The main catalysts are straightforward: the official UFC bout listing, any last-minute medical or weight-cut updates, and confirmation that the fight stays on the Apex prelims slate on the scheduled June 20 card.[3][5][7] For a payment-led audience, the practical watchpoint is whether deposit rails such as SEPA, Klarna, or USDC are moving cleanly; if they are, late money can enter quickly when line-up certainty improves, but if funding is slow, even a live fight can remain under-bet until close to settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.