Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
60% | 40% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
60% | 40% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| SS Lazio | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| Draw (SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC) | 23% YES | 78% NO |
| Pisa SC | 16% YES | 85% NO |
Market context
SS Lazio meet Pisa SC in Serie A on Sunday, with the market currently pricing a 60% chance of a Lazio win. That level is in line with pre-match expectations for a home side that has been favoured across preview markets, with Robinhood showing Lazio at 61¢, a tie at 23¢ and Pisa at 16¢. Recent matchup history is also supportive of Lazio’s position: WhoScored notes Lazio are unbeaten in their last six games against Pisa, although the sides have still produced goals in recent meetings, with the last five all going over 2.5. Pisa’s wider form has been poor, with Football Whispers citing 12 defeats in their last 13 matches, which helps explain why the home side has been the shorter price despite the market not treating this as a near-certain result.
For traders, the key question is whether funding flows can sustain interest into kick-off. Prediction markets tied to football often deepen as deposit friction eases, especially where users can move quickly via SEPA, Klarna or USDC and then withdraw through the same rails. Late money can also shift if line-ups confirm Lazio’s injury list, which Football Whispers says could include as many as seven sidelined players, or if there is any change to kick-off timing or squad rotation on the final day. With the settlement window ending at 13:00 UTC on 24 May, the main watchpoints are team news, confirmed selection and any update to the match being played as scheduled at the Stadio Olimpico.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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