US Cremonese vs. Como 1907

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

On 24 May 2026, US Cremonese will host Como 1907 in a Serie A fixture. The current 16% implied probability for a Cremonese victory reflects market consensus that the away side enters as favourites or the match is expected to be closely contested. Settlement occurs at 13:00 UTC on the scheduled match day, giving traders a defined window to monitor team news, injury updates, and pre-match conditions before liquidity tightens.

Cremonese's recent Serie A form and Como's trajectory through the 2025–26 season provide context for the probability. Como has spent the past two seasons rebuilding after promotion, whilst Cremonese has alternated between top-flight and second-tier football. Historical head-to-head records and current league standings will shape how traders price home advantage against Como's perceived strength. The 16% figure suggests the market is pricing Cremonese as significant underdogs, consistent with patterns where promoted or mid-table sides face stronger opponents at home.

Traders monitoring this market should track squad availability in the final weeks before May 24th. Injury announcements, managerial changes, or unexpected league outcomes affecting either side's momentum will move the book. Deposit flows via SEPA transfers and alternative on-ramps like Klarna typically accelerate in the 72 hours before major sports events, which can deepen liquidity and narrow spreads. Withdrawal rails remain available post-settlement, though traders should verify processing times for their chosen method before committing capital.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.