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Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.0M
- 24h volume
- $937K
- Liquidity
- $247K
- Open interest
- $703K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
83% | 17% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
83% | 17% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (6)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
The Minnesota Wild face the Colorado Avalanche on 13 May at 8:00 PM ET in an NHL playoff fixture. The market prices a Wild victory at 83%, implying roughly 5:1 odds against an Avalanche win. Settlement occurs at midnight UTC on 14 May, with overtime and shootout results included in final scoring. The resolution mechanism treats shootout winners as having scored one additional goal for market purposes, aligning with standard NHL outcome classification.
The 83% probability reflects the Wild's regular-season performance relative to the Avalanche's recent form and playoff history. Colorado has won two Stanley Cups in the past four seasons (2022, 2023), whilst Minnesota last reached the Finals in 1991. Comparable playoff matchups between established contenders and mid-tier challengers typically see the stronger historical franchise priced closer to 60–70% in early-round contests. The current skew towards Minnesota suggests either significant roster advantages in this specific series, recent injury news favouring the Wild, or home-ice positioning that traders view as decisive.
Liquidity depth in this market depends on deposit and withdrawal friction across the platform's payment rails. Traders using SEPA transfers or USDC stablecoin settlement typically commit capital with lower friction than those reliant on Klarna or card-based on-ramps, which carry higher fees and longer settlement windows. As the fixture date approaches, watch for lineup announcements, goaltender status updates, and any schedule changes that might affect betting volume. Recent injury reports or coaching decisions released within 48 hours of puck drop historically drive sharp repositioning in playoff markets where marginal roster depth shifts outcomes.
Methodology
This page compares Wild vs. Avalanche with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.nhl.com/scores. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
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