Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Knicks and Cavaliers meet again in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals on Saturday night in New York, with the Knicks leading the series 2-0. New York has already taken both games at home, including a 109-93 win in Game 2 on Thursday, when Josh Hart scored a playoff career-high 26 points and Jalen Brunson added 19 points and 14 assists. The current 45% implied chance for the Knicks is consistent with a market that is still pricing in a live road-to-the-title path for Cleveland rather than treating the series as over.

For traders, the main reference point is whether Cleveland’s backers can buy into a comeback before Game 3 or whether New York’s lead tightens further. ESPN reported on 22 May that Donovan Mitchell pointed to the Cavs’ previous comeback from 2-0 down against Detroit, which supports some residual support on the Cleveland side, but the on-court form has been one-way so far. In practical market terms, depth tends to follow funding speed: deposits that clear quickly, low-fee entry rails such as Klarna and SEPA, and same-day withdrawal options like USDC usually matter most when a playoff market is moving around news, lineups and series state.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.