Market statistics
- Total volume
- $979K
- 24h volume
- $930K
- Liquidity
- $987K
- Open interest
- $793K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (3)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
FC Cincinnati will host Inter Miami CF on Wednesday, 13 May 2026 in a regular-season Major League Soccer fixture. The match represents a mid-season encounter between two Eastern Conference sides with distinct trajectories in recent campaigns. Cincinnati has invested heavily in roster depth following their 2024 playoff run, whilst Miami continues to build around their established attacking core. Kick-off timing and venue conditions at TQL Stadium will factor into tactical setup and player availability assessments.
Historical MLS matchups between these clubs show competitive balance, though Miami's recent form and depth in attacking positions have typically favoured them in head-to-head encounters. The 0% implied probability on this market suggests minimal trading activity or liquidity concentration, a pattern common in niche sports betting books where deposit friction and withdrawal rail limitations constrain participation. Markets with sparse order flow often reflect incomplete information rather than genuine consensus; traders relying on SEPA transfers, Klarna instalment options, or USDC settlement rails may face delayed funding cycles that suppress early positioning.
Key variables entering the settlement window include confirmed team lineups released 24 hours before fixture time, injury updates to key playmakers, and weather conditions at Cincinnati. Recent MLS scheduling has occasionally shifted midweek fixtures due to international commitments; confirmation of the 13 May date remains essential. Book depth will likely remain shallow until deposit rails process funds efficiently and traders gain confidence in withdrawal mechanics, meaning probability shifts may be volatile relative to actual match fundamentals.
Wikipedia Context
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FC CincinnatiFootball Club Cincinnati is an American professional soccer club based in Cincinnati. The club competes in Major League Soccer (MLS) as a member of the Eastern Conference. The team was first announced on August 12, 2015, as a United Soccer League (USL) franchise which played from 2016 to 2018. On May 29, 2018, the club's ownership was awarded an MLS franchis
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FC Cincinnati 2FC Cincinnati 2 is an American professional soccer team based in Cincinnati, Ohio, United States. It is the reserve team of FC Cincinnati and participates in MLS Next Pro.
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TQL StadiumTQL Stadium is a soccer-specific stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio, United States. It is the home of Major League Soccer (MLS) team FC Cincinnati, who have played there since the stadium opened on May 16, 2021. The stadium holds approximately 26,000 spectators and is located in the West End neighborhood, at the former site of Stargel Stadium on Central Parkway at
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2024 FC Cincinnati season
The 2024 FC Cincinnati season was the club's sixth season in MLS, and the ninth season overall for the team including their first three years in the lower-division USL. The club entered 2024 as the defending Supporters' Shield winners, the award given to the team that finishes with the most points in the regular season.
Methodology
This page compares FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on PolyGram?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and PolyGram converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF on PolyGram
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