New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Yankees beat the Mets 5-2 in the first game of the Subway Series on 15 May, so the remaining exposure on this market is mainly whether the scheduled 16 May meeting is still on and how the market was priced before first pitch. A 37% YES implied probability suggests the book was giving the Mets a modest edge, but not a dominant one, which is typical for a cross-town game where recent form and starting pitching matter more than brand name. In comparable MLB moneyline-style markets, liquidity tends to sit with whichever side is easier to fund into quickly: cards and instant bank methods bring in the broadest retail flow, while SEPA and USDC usually support larger, lower-friction top-ups and more persistent depth.

For trading context, the main catalysts are the confirmed starting pitchers, any lineup rest after the series opener, and whether the game is delayed or moved by weather. ESPN reported the Yankees’ 5-2 win on Friday night at Citi Field, which is the most recent result and may influence short-term sentiment, but it does not settle the next game. On the funding side, markets such as this can widen when deposit and withdrawal rails are awkward: Klarna and card on-ramps can increase participation quickly, SEPA can support larger European balances, and USDC can keep active traders funded without card declines or bank cut-off times. Book depth is therefore partly a function of how easily money can enter and exit around first pitch, especially near settlement windows.

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Methodology

This page reviews New York Yankees vs. New York Mets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.