Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sevilla FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sevilla FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
RC Celta de Vigo will face Sevilla FC in a La Liga fixture on 23 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring at 19:00 UTC that same day. The match falls in the final stretch of the domestic season, when both clubs' European qualification hopes and relegation battles typically reach their most volatile phase. Celta and Sevilla have occupied mid-table positions historically, though Sevilla's recent European pedigree—six Europa League titles between 2014 and 2023—gives them structural advantages in squad depth and fixture congestion management.
The 0% implied probability on additional markets for this fixture reflects genuine liquidity constraints rather than certainty about outcome distribution. Comparable La Liga matches in May have seen secondary market clusters activate only after primary settlement windows close or when deposit flows from major European betting jurisdictions spike. SEPA transfers and Klarna on-ramps typically see highest throughput on Thursdays and Fridays preceding weekend fixtures; a Saturday afternoon kickoff creates a compressed deposit window. Book depth for ancillary markets depends directly on whether traders can clear funds before the 19:00 UTC deadline—a six-hour window post-match that eliminates same-day settlement arbitrage.
Watch for team news releases on 20–22 May regarding injury status and European competition carryover fatigue. Sevilla's Copa del Rey participation history suggests fixture congestion effects; Celta's recent form against top-six sides will signal defensive vulnerability. Withdrawal rail availability—particularly USDC on-chain settlement versus traditional banking delays—will determine whether traders can reallocate capital to secondary markets before closure.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC - More Markets on PolyGram
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