UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Bruno Silva, a Brazilian flyweight, faces Édgar Cháirez on the preliminary card of UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim on 6 June 2026. The bout is scheduled for the 125-pound division and will be contested over three five-minute rounds. Official UFC records and post-fight scorecards from the Nevada Athletic Commission will determine settlement; any cancellation, postponement beyond 20 June, or technical ruling (draw, no contest, unscored) triggers a 50-50 resolution.

Flyweight prelim markets typically reflect lower liquidity than main-card bouts, which affects both the depth of available odds and the friction costs for traders moving capital on and off platform. Payment rails matter here: traders depositing via SEPA or USDC stablecoins face different settlement timelines than those using Klarna or card rails, and withdrawal delays can compress margins on short-window markets. The 0% implied probability suggests minimal trading activity; such thin books often widen spreads and increase slippage, making entry and exit costlier relative to the underlying event's true odds.

Silva's record and recent form, alongside Cháirez's ranking and injury status, will shape market movement once fight week approaches. UFC injury announcements or late-notice opponent changes typically arrive 7–10 days before the event; traders should monitor official UFC social channels and athletic commission filings for any schedule shifts. The settlement window closes within hours of the final bell, leaving no margin for delayed scorecards or appeals, so confirmation of fight completion is the critical catalyst.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?

Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.