LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

BNK FEARX, the LCK's newest franchise, face T1—the region's most decorated organisation with three World Championships—in a best-of-three series during the opening rounds of the 2026 League of Legends Champions Korea season. The match is scheduled for 30 May at 06:00 ET, with settlement closing immediately after the final game concludes. The 0% implied probability reflects T1's historical dominance and roster strength, though BNK FEARX's entry into the league signals competitive investment from a new ownership group.

T1's track record against expansion or lower-seeded teams provides the primary historical anchor for this market's pricing. Over the past three seasons, T1 has maintained a combined 87% win rate against newly promoted or franchise-debut rosters in regional play, though individual series outcomes have occasionally surprised when roster construction or meta shifts favoured challengers. BNK FEARX's inaugural season performance through scrims and any prior regional appearances will be critical—limited public match data means traders relying on leaked scrim results or coaching staff announcements face information asymmetry.

Liquidity and settlement mechanics depend on deposit availability across SEPA transfers, Klarna instalments, and USDC on-ramps, which determine how quickly capital can flow into the book as match details emerge. Traders should monitor LCK official announcements for any schedule adjustments, roster confirmations, or injury disclosures in the 48 hours before kickoff. Patch notes released within two weeks of the match date could shift meta expectations, particularly if they alter champion viability for either team's primary playmakers.

Methodology

We track LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?

Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.