Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick polygram.ink |
2% | 98% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
2% | 98% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.
Active sub-markets
| Netherlands Corners: O/U 5.5 | 2% Over | 98% Under |
| Team to Take First Corner | 2% Netherlands | 98% Sweden |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Netherlands play Sweden in a FIFA World Cup group match, and the corners market is being shaped as much by match flow as by footballing quality. The current crowd-implied 2% for **YES** points to a very low-end expectation for the specific settlement threshold, which is 11 or more total corners in regulation time; corners in extra time and shootouts do not count, so the book is effectively pricing a 90-minute total only[1].
Historical context is thin on direct corners data, but comparable pre-match pricing suggests the market is leaning hard to the under side. FanDuel’s corners board for the same fixture shows Netherlands heavily favoured in the match corners line, while the total-corners lines are shaded towards low counts, with under 5 and under 6 offered at long prices that indicate an expectation of a modest corner tally rather than an end-to-end siege[7]. That sits alongside wider match previews that frame Netherlands–Sweden as a relatively balanced contest rather than an open shootout, which usually reduces the chance of a double-digit corner count unless one side spends long periods chasing the game[2][6].
For traders, the main catalysts are payment and liquidity flows rather than team news alone. Depth in this type of market tends to improve when deposits clear through low-friction rails such as SEPA or card-linked on-ramps, while withdrawals via Klarna-linked banking flows or USDC can affect how quickly capital recycles back into the book. A late swing in volume is most likely around confirmed line-ups, in-play attention from the 1:00 PM ET kick-off, and any settlement-rule clarifications on whether the exchange is counting regulation only; the market specification here matches that standard[1].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $345K.
Methodology
We track Netherlands vs. Sweden - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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