🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGet started →

IR Iran vs. New Zealand

Five-platform snapshot of "IR Iran vs. New Zealand" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

53% YES 47% NO Volume: $999K Liquidity: $5.0M Closes: 16 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket Deposit UK →
IR Iran vs. New Zealand

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick
polygram.ink
 53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.

Active sub-markets

IR Iran53% YES48% NO
Draw28% YES72% NO
New Zealand20% YES81% NO

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 53% probability to ir iran vs. new zealand. This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 15, 2026 between IR Iran and New Zealand.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Sarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets WriterandJames WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market Analyst

Trade IR Iran vs. New Zealand on Polymarket Deposit UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Trade on Polymarket Deposit UK →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Polymarket Deposit UK.

See all markets →