Spain vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Spain will face Cabo Verde in a World Cup qualifier on 15 June 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 2% implied probability on this exact-score outcome reflects the substantial gap in competitive strength between the two nations. Spain ranks 8th in the FIFA standings and has qualified for every World Cup since 1978, whilst Cabo Verde, ranked 205th, has never qualified for a World Cup and competes in African qualifying. Historical precedent suggests Spain's typical scorelines against lower-ranked opponents cluster heavily around 3–0, 4–0, and 5–0 victories; in their last 15 matches against sides ranked outside the top 100, Spain averaged 3.2 goals conceded zero. The current odds imply traders expect either a decisive Spanish victory or an unexpected upset, with most volume likely concentrated on higher-scoring outcomes or "Any Other Score" rather than specific narrow margins.

Liquidity depth on this market depends partly on deposit and withdrawal infrastructure availability across major payment rails. Traders seeking exposure will need to verify SEPA transfer speeds, USDC on-ramp fees, and Klarna settlement timelines before committing capital, as settlement window closure on 15 June at 16:00 UTC allows minimal post-match dispute resolution. Team news and injury updates typically emerge 48–72 hours before kick-off; Spain's squad rotation policy and Cabo Verde's squad availability will be key watch points. Any late fixture rescheduling or venue changes would trigger market reopening, so monitoring official FIFA communications through early June remains essential for position management.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?

Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.