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Poland vs. Ukraine - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Poland vs. Ukraine - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $204K Liquidity: $4.5M Closes: 31 May 2026
Trade on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Poland vs. Ukraine - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.

Active sub-markets

Poland (-1.5)0% YES100% NO
Ukraine (-1.5)100% YES0% NO
Poland (-2.5)0% YES100% NO
Ukraine (-2.5)0% YES100% NO
O/U 0.5100% YES0% NO
O/U 1.5100% YES0% NO

Market context

Poland and Ukraine are scheduled to play a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May at 11:30 AM ET. The market asks whether additional betting markets will be offered on this fixture beyond the standard match outcome and goal-line options. At 0% implied probability, traders are pricing near-zero conviction that supplementary markets—such as corner counts, card totals, or player-specific props—will materialise before settlement closes on 31 May at 15:30 UTC.

Historical precedent suggests friendly matches between Eastern European nations attract modest liquidity relative to competitive fixtures. UEFA Nations League and World Cup qualifier markets typically see deeper order books and broader market proliferation, whilst friendlies often settle with only core outcomes available. The Poland–Ukraine pairing carries additional friction: geopolitical context and fixture scheduling uncertainty have historically compressed trading volumes on related events, limiting the commercial incentive for market operators to deploy secondary offerings.

Traders should monitor UEFA's official fixture calendar and any late announcements from the Polish or Ukrainian football associations regarding broadcast arrangements or sponsorship commitments, which correlate with market expansion. Deposit rails matter here: traders holding SEPA balances or Klarna-funded accounts may face settlement delays if additional markets do launch, since withdrawal processing times can extend settlement confirmation by 24–48 hours. The current 0% reading reflects rational scepticism that operators will justify backend costs for a low-volume friendly; any announcement of expanded coverage would likely trigger sharp repricing within 72 hours of the match.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 0% probability for "Poland vs. Ukraine - More Markets".

YES 0% NO 100%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?
Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports