Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick polygram.ink |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.
Active sub-markets
| Norway (-1.5) | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Sweden (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Norway (-2.5) | 30% YES | 70% NO |
| Sweden (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
A FIFA International Friendly between Norway and the Swedish national teams is scheduled for 1 June 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The market asks whether additional betting markets will be created for this fixture beyond the primary match outcome contract. At 90% implied probability, traders are pricing in substantial confidence that secondary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or player performance props—will launch before settlement on 1 June at 17:00 UTC.
Historical precedent from major Scandinavian football fixtures shows that friendlies between Nordic neighbours typically attract modest but reliable secondary-market creation, particularly when both federations have confirmed squad lists. The Norway–Sweden rivalry, whilst lower-profile than fixtures involving top-five nations, has generated multi-market clusters in prior years; comparable June friendlies in 2022 and 2024 saw three to five derivative markets open within 48 hours of kickoff. The current 90% reading reflects this pattern, though market depth remains sensitive to early liquidity flows—SEPA deposits and Klarna on-ramps historically show elevated activity 72 hours before European fixture announcements.
Traders should monitor official confirmations from the Norwegian Football Federation and Swedish Football Association, expected by late May, which typically trigger secondary-market deployment. Deposit friction remains a material variable: sites offering streamlined USDC settlement and SEPA rails have historically seen faster market proliferation for Scandinavian fixtures, as traders avoid withdrawal delays when positioning across multiple props. The settlement window's 17:00 UTC close means any market-creation announcements after 14:00 UTC on 1 June will be immaterial to this contract's outcome.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $461K.
Methodology
This page reviews Norway vs. Sweden - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Deposit UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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