Colombia vs. Costa Rica - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Colombia and Costa Rica will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 1 June at 7:00 PM ET, with settlement contingent on whether additional betting markets for this fixture materialise before the close of play that evening. The 100% crowd probability reflects near-certainty that secondary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or card totals—will be offered alongside the primary match outcome, a standard practice for competitive international fixtures of this calibre.

Historical precedent supports the current odds. FIFA friendlies involving CONMEBOL and CONCACAF nations routinely generate multiple derivative markets within hours of fixture confirmation. Colombia's recent Copa América participation and Costa Rica's World Cup qualification campaigns have both driven substantial liquidity pools across related competitions, establishing the infrastructure and trader appetite necessary for expanded market depth. When comparable fixtures between regional rivals have been scheduled, secondary markets have appeared in over 95% of cases, typically within 48 hours of kickoff.

The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 1 June, creating a hard deadline for market operators to publish additional offerings. Traders should monitor official CONMEBOL communications and the host broadcaster's schedule for any last-minute fixture changes or postponements, which would trigger settlement disputes. Deposit flows via SEPA and USDC have historically accelerated in the 72 hours preceding high-profile friendlies, as traders position capital ahead of market fragmentation. Withdrawal rails remain open throughout the settlement period, allowing participants to manage exposure as new markets appear and odds adjust across the cluster.

Methodology

We track Colombia vs. Costa Rica - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?

Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.