Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Deposit UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.
Active sub-markets
| Switzerland (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Jordan (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Switzerland (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Jordan (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Switzerland will face Jordan in a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 9:00 AM ET. The match forms part of the fixture calendar ahead of the 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign and represents a routine preparation opportunity for both nations. The current market probability of 100% YES indicates traders expect additional secondary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or card counts—to be created around this fixture.
Historical precedent suggests that friendly matches between established European sides and lower-ranked opponents generate modest but consistent market depth. Switzerland's recent friendlies have typically attracted layered betting interest, though liquidity concentrates in the primary outcome market rather than exotic derivatives. Jordan's participation in Asian Cup qualifiers and regional tournaments provides sufficient fixture visibility to warrant secondary market creation, though the asymmetry in competitive level between the two nations often constrains trading volume in peripheral markets.
The key catalyst for market expansion will be official fixture confirmation and broadcast scheduling from FIFA or the respective national federations, expected in the coming months. Traders monitoring deposit flows on platforms offering SEPA transfers and Klarna payment rails should note that friendly match markets historically see funding surges 7–10 days before kick-off, when European traders deposit ahead of weekend fixtures. Withdrawal availability through USDC and traditional banking channels will determine whether book depth sustains through the settlement window closing 31 May 2026 at 13:00 UTC.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $229K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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