PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday takes place annually at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, typically in early June. The 2026 edition will settle on 7 June, determining which of the listed competitors claims the title. The tournament attracts elite PGA Tour fields and carries significant ranking implications for major championship qualification windows. Current market pricing at 0% YES reflects either an extremely tight field of contenders or minimal trading volume at settlement, a common pattern for golf markets with deep player rosters where no single competitor commands obvious favouritism.

Historical Memorial Tournament markets show pronounced clustering around established major winners and recent form leaders. When comparable markets opened for the 2024 and 2025 editions, early probability distributions favoured players within the top 20 world rankings, with unlisted-player resolution ("Other") typically priced between 15–25%. The 0% reading here suggests either the listed cohort captures the entire anticipated field, or the market has yet to attract sufficient deposit flow to establish meaningful spreads. Deposit friction—particularly for UK-based traders using SEPA transfers or Klarna instalment rails—often delays book depth in niche golf markets until closer to tournament week.

Traders should monitor PGA Tour injury announcements and world ranking updates through May 2026, as these directly affect field composition and listed-player eligibility. Recent precedent from the 2025 Players Championship saw late withdrawals shift market probabilities sharply within 72 hours of play. Withdrawal rails via USDC or traditional banking become operationally critical if markets require rapid settlement adjustments following official PGA Tour communications about field changes.

Methodology

We track PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?

Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.