Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Sunderland AFC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chelsea FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sunderland AFC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chelsea FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Sunderland will host Chelsea at the Stadium of Light on 24 May 2026, with kick-off at 11:00 AM ET. The fixture falls in the final week of the Premier League season, when both clubs' final standings and European qualification spots may still be in flux. Chelsea's recent form and league position will determine whether this match carries title-race implications or serves primarily as a dead-rubber for the visitors.
The 0% implied probability on this particular secondary market reflects low trading volume rather than certainty of outcome. Comparable late-season Premier League fixtures typically see secondary markets activate only after primary markets (match result, total goals) establish baseline liquidity. Book depth on ancillary markets depends directly on deposit flows; platforms offering streamlined on-ramps—SEPA transfers, Klarna instalments, and USDC settlement—tend to see faster capital deployment into deeper secondary-market pools. Until sufficient traders deposit and position themselves, even plausible outcomes register as zero probability simply due to absence of counterparties.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news releases in the final fortnight of May, particularly injury confirmations and squad rotation announcements from both clubs. Chelsea's fixture congestion and European commitments earlier in the season will influence squad freshness heading into this match. Sunderland's final-day positioning—whether fighting relegation, mid-table security, or European qualification—will signal tactical approach. Settlement occurs at 15:00 GMT on 24 May, giving traders a narrow window to react to pre-match developments once deposit rails activate sufficient liquidity.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets on PolyGram
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