Market statistics
- Total volume
- $499K
- 24h volume
- $491K
- Open interest
- $264
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (94)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
#1
Ends in Daytime
▲ +48.9%
100%
Trade →
#2
Both Teams Beat Roshan
▲ +64.5%
100%
Trade →
#3
First Blood in Game 1?
▲ +50.0%
100%
Trade →
#4
First Blood in Game 2?
▲ +50.0%
100%
Trade →
#5
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
▲ +50.0%
100%
Trade →
#6
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
▲ +50.0%
100%
Trade →
#7
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
▲ +50.0%
100%
Trade →
#8
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
▲ +50.0%
100%
Trade →
#9
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
▲ +50.0%
100%
Trade →
#10
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#11
Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)
100%
Trade →
#12
Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 1?
100%
Trade →
#13
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?
100%
Trade →
#14
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?
100%
Trade →
#15
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#16
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#17
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#18
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#19
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#20
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#21
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#22
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#23
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#24
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#25
Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#26
Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#27
Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#28
Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#29
Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#30
Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#31
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#32
Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#33
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#34
Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#35
Total Kills Over/Under 72.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#36
Total Kills Over/Under 76.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#37
Total Kills Over/Under 78.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#38
Total Kills Over/Under 77.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#39
Total Kills Over/Under 79.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#40
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#41
Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#42
Total Kills Over/Under 74.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#43
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?
100%
Trade →
#44
Ends in Daytime
▼ -1.5%
50%
Trade →
#45
Both Teams Beat Roshan
▲ +13.5%
50%
Trade →
#46
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
▼ -2.5%
50%
Trade →
#47
Any Player Ultra Kill
▼ -4.5%
50%
Trade →
#48
Any Player Rampage
▼ -7.5%
50%
Trade →
#49
Match Winner
▼ -55.5%
0%
Trade →
#50
Game 1 Winner
▼ -54.4%
0%
Trade →
#51
Game 2 Winner
▼ -54.4%
0%
Trade →
#52
O/U 2.5 Games
▼ -49.5%
0%
Trade →
#53
Game Handicap: ex-HEROIC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)
▼ -31.4%
0%
Trade →
#54
Both Teams Beat Roshan
▼ -35.9%
0%
Trade →
#55
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
▼ -28.4%
0%
Trade →
#56
Any Player Ultra Kill
▼ -29.4%
0%
Trade →
#57
Any Player Rampage
▼ -3.8%
0%
Trade →
#58
Ends in Daytime
▼ -50.9%
0%
Trade →
#59
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
▼ -28.0%
0%
Trade →
#60
Any Player Ultra Kill
▼ -28.9%
0%
Trade →
#61
Any Player Rampage
▼ -3.8%
0%
Trade →
#62
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
▼ -50.0%
0%
Trade →
#63
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
▼ -50.0%
0%
Trade →
#64
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
▼ -50.0%
0%
Trade →
#65
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
▼ -50.0%
0%
Trade →
#66
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
▼ -50.0%
0%
Trade →
#67
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#68
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#69
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#70
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#71
Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#72
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#73
Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#74
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#75
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#76
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#77
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#78
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#79
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#80
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#81
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#82
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#83
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#84
Total Kills Over/Under 83.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#85
Total Kills Over/Under 82.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#86
Total Kills Over/Under 81.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#87
Total Kills Over/Under 84.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#88
Total Kills Over/Under 86.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#89
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#90
Total Kills Over/Under 88.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#91
Total Kills Over/Under 87.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#92
Total Kills Over/Under 91.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#93
Total Kills Over/Under 89.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
#94
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?
0%
Trade →
Market context
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between ex-HEROIC and Virtus.pro in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-HEROIC" if ex-HEROIC win the match against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against ex-HEROIC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Methodology
This page compares Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2storm. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on PolyGram?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and PolyGram converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by PolyGram — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). PolyGram retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →