Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Magic face FaZe in the upper bracket semifinal of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 28 May at 11:00 AM ET. The 1% implied probability reflects FaZe's established standing as one of the region's dominant rosters, whilst magic operate as a lower-seeded challenger. FaZe's recent form and roster stability have made them consistent favourites in domestic rankings, though upset potential exists in single-elimination brackets where preparation and momentum shifts can override seeding.

Historical precedent in Stake Ranked tournaments shows that upper bracket semifinals rarely produce extreme upsets when seeding gaps are this pronounced. FaZe's participation in higher-tier international events and consistent LAN placements have created a substantial skill differential that the market has priced accordingly. Magic would need to exploit specific tactical vulnerabilities or capitalise on FaZe underpreparation—outcomes that occur infrequently enough to justify single-digit odds.

Traders monitoring this match should track roster announcements or last-minute lineup changes in the 48 hours before play, as these can shift preparation depth. Fixture delays beyond the scheduled window trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, a material risk if technical issues or scheduling conflicts emerge. Liquidity on this market correlates directly with deposit flows on the platform; SEPA transfers and USDC on-ramps typically settle within 24 hours, allowing traders to capitalise on pre-match volatility if new information surfaces. The settlement window closes 28 May at 23:35 UTC, providing a hard deadline for position management.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Deposit UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?

Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.