Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
BetBoom Team are due to face Natus Vincere in a best-of-three at IEM Atlanta, with the market initially set for a 16 May start. The crowd price at 0% YES is easier to read as a funding and execution problem than a pure match view: a zero-priced side usually reflects thin participation, where deposits, fees and withdrawal convenience matter as much as opinion. In markets like this, depth tends to come from traders who can move money in and out quickly via SEPA, card rails, or USDC; where on-ramp friction is higher, books often stay one-sided until close to start time or until a clear catalyst brings fresh volume.
On form, Natus Vincere are the stronger side on ranking and roster pedigree, with multiple previews placing them around world number two versus BetBoom in the low twenties. Recent match reporting has also given BetBoom some credibility after wins over paiN and an upset over Vitality, which is enough to keep map-one and map-two outcomes live even if NaVi remain favourites overall. Comparable playoff spots in CS2 often see underdogs attract late money when bettors can fund instantly and withdraw cheaply; if that flow is absent, the market can stay pinned despite reasonable upset potential.
The main catalysts are whether the semifinal is confirmed to run on schedule, whether the map pool and veto favour BetBoom’s more aggressive style, and whether any bracket or timetable changes affect settlement before the window closes at 03:00 UTC. Recent ESL and match listings have pointed to the match as an IEM Atlanta playoff fixture, but the practical driver for market movement will be whether traders can deposit and recycle funds without delay. Klarna and SEPA support typically broaden participation in Europe, while USDC rails can deepen activity by lowering transfer friction; if those rails are clunky or unavailable, liquidity may remain sparse until line-up and veto news land closer to server time.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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