Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Liaoning Tieren FC meet Qingdao Hainiu FC in a Chinese Super League fixture, and the related “More Markets” contract is set against a 0% yes price, which usually reflects either very thin participation or a view that the book is not yet populated with meaningful funds. In football event markets, especially on smaller fixtures, zeroes often say more about funding friction than about conviction: if deposits are slow, fees are high, or withdrawal options are awkward, liquidity can stay stuck at the margin. That matters here because market depth tends to build fastest when traders can move cash in and out easily through familiar rails such as card, Klarna, SEPA or USDC.
The historical frame is fairly plain: these sides have already met several times, with Qingdao Hainiu holding the stronger head-to-head record overall, while recent snippets show Liaoning Tieren have struggled for clean sheets. Comparable Chinese league markets often stay inert until close to kick-off, then reprice sharply once line-ups and market-maker activity arrive. For a market at 0%, the key question is not just the team news but whether enough fresh deposits land before settlement to create a usable order book rather than a placeholder price.
The catalysts to watch are operational as much as sporting: any late team-sheet confirmation, venue or schedule change, and any funding-side announcement that improves on-ramp speed or expands withdrawal rails can affect participation more than the match itself. Recent match listings from FotMob and SofaScore confirm the fixture timing, but the practical driver for depth is whether traders can fund quickly enough in the hours before settlement. If payment processing is smooth, especially via instant or near-instant options, the contract is more likely to see real trading; if not, a 0% market can remain effectively frozen until the window closes.
Methodology
This page reviews Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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