PGA Tour: THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson will take place in May at TPC Craig Ranch near Dallas, Texas. This PGA Tour event carries a purse of $20 million and typically attracts a field of 156 players competing over 72 holes. The tournament's timing—late spring, after major championships have begun their schedules—often sees participation from both established tour members and players seeking momentum before the US Open. Settlement occurs on 24 May 2026, giving traders roughly eighteen months to monitor form, injury status, and field composition.

Historical precedent suggests that 25% implied probability for a single listed player reflects moderate confidence in that competitor's chances relative to a full field. The Byron Nelson has historically favoured players with strong ball-striking metrics and course familiarity; past winners include both established names and rising talents. Comparable PGA Tour events at similar purse levels typically see favourite odds cluster between 12–20%, meaning the current market pricing indicates either a particularly strong candidate or elevated uncertainty across the field. Deposit flows and book depth on this market will likely correlate with major tour announcements and injury updates affecting listed players.

Traders should monitor PGA Tour schedule releases, sponsor confirmations, and player health disclosures throughout 2025 and early 2026. Recent course conditions reports and practice-round performances in April 2026 will sharpen probability estimates. For UK-based traders, deposit methods including SEPA transfers and Klarna typically settle within 1–2 business days, whilst USDC blockchain deposits clear instantly, enabling rapid position adjustments as new information emerges closer to the tournament window.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.