# of views of MrBeast video day 4?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The market is on the first 96 hours of views for MrBeast’s latest upload, measured from the YouTube counter on his channel. With the current crowd-implied chance at 0% for the YES outcome, the book is effectively saying traders expect the finished day-four total to land outside the named bracket rather than in the priced band. That matters because the market is resolved on the reported view figure, not on pace or public commentary, so late-hour traffic, thumbnail changes, and any post-upload distribution shifts still matter until the 96-hour window closes.

MrBeast’s uploads routinely clear tens of millions of views within days, but the shape is less uniform than the headline totals suggest. HypeAuditor puts his average video views at just over 101 million, while recent commentary has pointed to a softer trend in four-day counts, with one Think Media discussion citing a slide from roughly 119 million to 78 million on recent uploads. That gap is why bracket markets can be mispriced at the edges: strong creators can still miss a specific band even when the underlying video performs well by normal YouTube standards.

Traders should watch the upload cadence around the “Survive 30 Da…” release, any MrBeast or Viewstats updates, and whether YouTube surfaces the video heavily on home and suggested feeds. Polymarket’s depth here is also shaped by funding rails: faster deposits via card-linked options such as Klarna, or lower-friction transfers through SEPA and USDC, tend to support tighter books and more responsive repricing as the count moves. Social Blade and Viewstats are useful for tracking the live path, but the settlement source remains the visible YouTube views counter at the end of the 96-hour period.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of MrBeast video day 4? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.