# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast’s next upload will be judged on its first seven days of views, with the bracket set by the YouTube counter on his channel. At a 1% crowd-implied chance for the top outcome, the book is signalling that traders think an 80m-plus week is possible but still uncommon even for the platform’s biggest creator. That sits against a record of very large openings, but also a pattern of sharp fall-off between headline launches and ordinary uploads. For comparison, recent third-party view tracking has shown MrBeast’s uploads moving in broad bands rather than with much precision, which is why these weekly ranges can repricing quickly once a title and thumbnail are visible.

The main catalysts are the upload timing, the format, and whether it is promoted as a major event across his channels. Viewstats currently shows MrBeast on a very high projected scale for subs and views, but that does not translate directly into a near-guaranteed week-one bracket because distribution depends on click-through and retention. A sudden scheduling post, a collab reveal, or a repeatable format such as a competition or stunt would matter more than routine uploads. On the market side, depth can widen or thin depending on how easily traders can fund entries: deposits via Klarna or SEPA usually bring in more fiat-driven participants, while USDC rails can support faster rebalancing and withdrawals. That flow matters because a market at 1% YES needs fresh capital to absorb any buying if the video looks like a breakout.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.