England vs. Croatia - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

England and Croatia meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June at 4:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact final score at 9% implied probability, reflecting the wide distribution of possible outcomes across 90 minutes of regulation play. Settlement occurs at the final whistle; extra time and penalties do not apply. Traders depositing via Klarna or SEPA transfers will find liquidity concentrated on broader outcomes (win/draw/loss), with exact-score markets typically thinner until match week approaches and funding flows intensify the book.

England and Croatia last met competitively in the 2018 World Cup semi-final, which Croatia won 2–1 after extra time. Their most recent fixture, a Euro 2020 qualifier in September 2019, ended 0–0. Exact-score markets on international friendlies and qualifiers historically settle on scorelines between 0–0 and 3–1, with 1–1 and 1–0 accounting for roughly 40% of outcomes in comparable fixtures. The 9% probability assigned here aligns with typical pricing for a single specified scoreline in a competitive match between evenly matched sides.

Team news and injury updates will shape trading momentum through May and early June 2026. England's squad depth and Croatia's tournament experience both matter; recent form in qualifying will be monitored closely. Traders using USDC or direct bank withdrawals should note that exact-score markets often see sharp repricing 48–72 hours before kick-off as late-breaking team sheets and betting syndicates adjust positions. Deposit friction via slower rails (SEPA clearing) may delay entry for traders reacting to final squad announcements.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.