Market statistics
- Total volume
- $635K
- 24h volume
- $629K
- Liquidity
- $324K
- Open interest
- $308K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (26)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
The Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs lower bracket round 2 match between Shifters and Galions is scheduled for 14 May at 2:00 PM ET. This best-of-three fixture determines progression in the regional qualifying pathway for the broader EWC tournament structure. The 0% implied probability reflects minimal order flow and book depth at present, typical of early-stage esports markets where liquidity concentrates only after mainstream media coverage or roster announcements. Traders seeking exposure face friction on deposit rails—SEPA transfers and USDC on-ramps carry variable settlement windows, whilst Klarna-backed payment options introduce additional fee structures that compress expected value on smaller positions.
Historical precedent from League of Legends qualifier matches shows that probability compression occurs 48–72 hours before fixture time, when team scrim results and patch-specific meta shifts circulate through player communities. Shifters and Galions' recent domestic performance records, coaching staff changes, and mid-season roster adjustments will anchor revised odds once regional broadcast schedules confirm fixture timing. The settlement window extends to 22:55 UTC on 14 May, allowing for standard broadcast delays; however, the 7-day cancellation clause creates tail risk if either organisation faces administrative or logistical disruption.
Traders monitoring this market should track official EWC communications and regional league announcements for fixture confirmations, as qualifier brackets often shift based on earlier round outcomes. Withdrawal friction via SEPA or alternative rails may suppress late-stage position adjustments, meaning early liquidity provision—despite current thinness—could capture meaningful spreads as match day approaches.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/otplol_. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on PolyGram?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and PolyGram converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by PolyGram — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). PolyGram retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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