Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
DN SOOPers are scheduled to play Kiwoom DRX in an LCK Rounds 1-2 best-of-three. The listed market has 0% YES implied, which usually reflects either a stale book, no recent matching volume, or the market being effectively dormant rather than a firm view that the favourite cannot lose. For low-liquidity esports markets, price discovery often improves only when fresh deposits arrive and traders can fund accounts quickly enough to place the first meaningful orders.
Recent LCK comparables suggest DN SOOPers and DRX can both produce swingy series, but the market has already seen DRX lose a best-of-five to SOOPers earlier this season, 3-1 on 19 February, which is a useful reference rather than a direct predictor in a BO3. LCK Rounds 1-2 are played under Fearless Draft, so champion pools and adaptation matter more than in standard draft formats, and that can make short-series outcomes less reliable than the names on paper imply. In practice, that uncertainty only matters if there is enough liquidity for traders to express it; otherwise, spreads tend to sit wide until more accounts are funded.
The key catalysts are simple: an official start confirmation, any last-minute roster or substitute news, and whether the match is actually listed to begin within the settlement window. ECharts notes that LCK 2026 matches are being broadcast through SOOP, CHZZK, Twitch and YouTube depending on language, so stream availability is not the issue; funding friction is. On markets like this, depth often tracks how easy it is to deposit via SEPA or Klarna, or to move USDC on-chain and withdraw cleanly afterwards, because lower payment friction tends to bring in the first wave of liquidity before game time.
Methodology
We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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