Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.1M
- 24h volume
- $1.1M
- Open interest
- $46K
Available prediction outcomes (48)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
TYLOO and Lynn Vision are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 on 5 June at 08:00 ET. The match represents a Round 5 fixture in the tournament's group stage, with both teams competing for advancement. The current market probability of 100% YES reflects near-certainty that the match will occur as scheduled, though settlement hinges on completion within seven days and absence of forfeit conditions.
Historical precedent from major CS tournaments shows that scheduling delays and cancellations at tier-one events remain uncommon once matches reach the official round-robin stage. IEM Cologne's infrastructure and broadcaster commitments typically ensure fixture completion, though technical issues or player unavailability have occasionally forced rescheduling within the permitted window. Lynn Vision's participation in Chinese regional qualifiers and TYLOO's established presence in international circuits both suggest stable roster availability. The 100% probability reflects confidence in operational execution rather than predictive certainty of outcome.
Traders should monitor official IEM Cologne announcements regarding venue changes, schedule adjustments, or roster alterations in the 48 hours preceding the match. Deposit and withdrawal friction—particularly for traders using SEPA transfers, Klarna, or USDC rails—may affect liquidity depth as settlement approaches. Any announcement of team roster changes or player substitutions after the market opens could trigger repricing, though such changes rarely prevent match completion. The settlement window closes 5 June at 18:00 UTC, allowing six hours post-match for result confirmation before resolution locks.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on PolyGram?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and PolyGram converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by PolyGram — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). PolyGram retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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