Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

TYLOO, the Chinese esports organisation, face Legacy in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the IEM Cologne Major's second stage on 9 June 2026. The fixture is scheduled for 10:30 AM ET, with settlement occurring after the final map concludes. Current crowd pricing sits at 36% for a TYLOO victory, implying Legacy are favoured at 64%—a substantial gap that reflects Legacy's recent form and seeding position within the tournament bracket.

Historical precedent suggests TYLOO's win probability at major tournaments has typically ranged between 25–45% when facing established Western squads, though their performance fluctuates considerably based on roster stability and map pool alignment. Legacy's recent placements in tier-one qualifiers and their standing within the Americas region have established them as consistent performers, which explains the current market lean. Comparable matches between Chinese and Americas-region teams at IEM events over the past two years show Legacy-equivalent opposition winning roughly 60–65% of encounters, aligning closely with the current settlement odds.

Traders monitoring this market should track roster announcements and practice scrim results in the 72 hours preceding the match, as last-minute lineup changes or injury disclosures can shift book depth significantly. IEM's official schedule updates and any venue or broadcast delays will affect settlement timing; the 7-day extension clause means matches delayed beyond 16 June without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution. Deposit flows via SEPA and USDC typically accelerate during major esports tournaments, and liquidity on this fixture will depend on whether competing sportsbooks and prediction platforms establish comparable odds, driving arbitrage activity and on-ramp demand.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Deposit UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?

Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.