Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
MOUZ are due to play paiN in a best-of-three lower-bracket final at CS Asia Championships Group A, with the market set to resolve on the match result if it is completed. The current 100% Yes pricing indicates the book is heavily one-sided, which usually happens when the event is already reflected in venue schedules, team social posts, and live-match coverage rather than fresh opinion. In practice, these markets often trade almost entirely on whether deposits and settlement rails are working smoothly enough for users to enter and exit quickly, so depth can tighten when payment options such as card, Klarna, SEPA, or USDC are the easiest route in.
Comparable esports markets tend to stay pinned when the favourite is materially stronger on ranking and recent results, and that is the case here: Dust2.us listed MOUZ at world No. 9 against paiN at No. 20 in their recent meeting, while Polymarket’s event page describes MOUZ as the clear favourite in this Group A decider. Recent match coverage also suggests the fixture has already been slotted into the day’s broadcast and tournament rhythm, which reduces uncertainty around whether it is actually played. When a market is this close to full pricing, the main risk is not form but payment friction, because any delay in funding or withdrawal routes can suppress new orders and leave the book thin.
Traders should watch for official schedule updates from CS Asia Championships and any broadcast or venue notices, especially if the match timing shifts or the bracket is reworked. Kalshi’s market page notes the original 2:00 AM EDT slot and that resolution depends on verified match outcome, which matters if there is a late start, a technical pause, or a walkover. For users funding positions through SEPA or USDC, the practical catalyst is whether deposits clear before play begins; where fiat on-ramp delays bite, the apparent 100% Yes can reflect access rather than conviction.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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