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Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

100% YES 0% NO Volume: $317K Liquidity: $402K Closes: 10 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Deposit UK Pick
polygram.ink
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Deposit UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Deposit UK.

Active sub-markets

Market context

illwill and G2 Ares are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 10 June at 1:00PM ET as part of the CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage. The fixture forms part of a broader regional qualifying round where roster depth and map pool preparation carry material weight. G2 Ares, the academy side of the established G2 Esports organisation, typically fields younger or developing talent, whilst illwill operates as an independent collective. The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in match completion or sparse liquidity in the order book; either scenario warrants scrutiny before committing capital.

Historical precedent from CCT Europe tournaments shows that group stage matches rarely cancel outright, though delays beyond the scheduled window occur in roughly 8–12% of fixtures when technical issues or player availability constraints arise. The seven-day grace period built into the settlement terms provides meaningful buffer against administrative postponement, though forfeits remain a tail risk if either squad experiences unexpected roster disruption. Recent CCT Europe Series 3 coverage from ESIC and tournament organisers indicates fixture adherence has improved, reducing the probability of 50-50 resolution to below 5%.

Traders depositing via SEPA or Klarna should anticipate settlement within 48 hours of match conclusion, provided the winner is declared before the 23:45 UTC deadline on 10 June. Withdrawal rails remain open across USDC and traditional banking channels; book depth on this market will likely tighten as match time approaches, compressing the spread between implied odds and fair value. Monitor official CCT Europe announcements for any last-minute roster changes or venue adjustments that could trigger schedule shifts.

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Deposit UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Deposit UK?
Zero. Polymarket Deposit UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Deposit UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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