Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons and Legacy met in the CS Asia Championships Group A upper-bracket final, a best-of-three that was scheduled for 22 May after an initial 21 May listing. The market was priced at 100% for Falcons at the time of the prompt, which usually indicates the book has already absorbed the match result or that settlement is effectively foregone. In events with a near-certain outcome, depth often comes from a small number of late deposits rather than broad two-sided interest, so funding rails matter more than usual: quicker top-ups via card-linked methods, low-friction bank transfers such as SEPA, and stablecoin deposits in USDC tend to keep offers live even when the edge is obvious.
Comparable Counter-Strike markets usually tighten sharply once a bracket final is confirmed and the teams are known, then move again if a match is delayed, replayed, or affected by a scheduling change. Recent reporting from Skin.club noted that Falcons swept Legacy to reach the semi-finals, which is consistent with a one-sided read on the matchup and helps explain why the crowd price was pinned. In practice, these markets often reflect not only team strength but also whether users can get money in and out quickly enough to participate before settlement.
For traders, the main catalysts are operational rather than analytical: whether the official match pages and broadcast listings keep the fixture at the stated time, whether the CS Asia Championships schedule shifts around adjacent playoff games, and whether any walkover, map forfeiture, or technical ruling changes the settlement path. On a payment-focused venue, a market like this can still attract activity from users topping up by Klarna, SEPA, or USDC, but the eventual book depth depends on how easily those funds arrive before the match is reported complete.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS As… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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